Dubsism

What your view of sports and life would be if you had too many concussions

The NFL Playoffs – The Definitive Oddsmaker’s View

1) San Diego Chargers

 

Why They Can Win:

They are playing the best football at the right time. This also may be the most complete and balanced team in the playoffs.

Why They Can’t Win:

The Charger offense likely can’t survive a bad-weather game if they have to face one.

Odds of Winning: 2 to 1


2) Indianapolis Colts

 

Why They Can Win:

The AFC road to the Super Bowl goes through Indy. The Manning show that once was just a high-powered offense now includes a legitimate defense, and defense is what wins championships.

Why They Can’t Win:

The aforementioned Manning show loves to pick a big-game in which to not show up. With the sole exception of the Super Bowl win over the Bears, The Manning-led Colts have been the NFL’s version of Vinko Bogataj; meaning they get right to the end of the ramp before they collapse.

Why Peyton Manning should avoid skiing at all costs.

Odds of Winning: 2.5 to 1


3) New Orleans Saints

 

Why They Can Win:

Knowing the Saints teams I grew up watching, I never thought I would live long enough to see a guy wearing helmet with a fleur-de-lis on it hoisting a Lombardi Trophy, but it could very well happen. Drew Brees is an MVP-caliber quarterback who has clearly given this team the leader is has needed since Archie Manning in the 70’s. The difference is that Brees has a supporting cast Manning never had. Coupled with the facts that New Orleans has home-field advantage and the Saints don’t lose at home, they have to be the favorite in the NFC.

Why They Can’t Win:

Their defense has serious injury problems which have left them unable to stop the run, but the only team in the NFC that can run the ball are the Cowboys. Another injury problem lies in the broken ribs of RB Pierre Thomas. Brees may be having an MVP season, but this team doesn’t win when Thomas doesn’t carry the ball.

Odds of Winning: 3 to 1


4) Dallas Cowboys

 

Why They Can Win:

The Cowboys represent the best example of the “old school” formula for winning– they control the line of scrimmage on offense and their defense is over-achieving at the right time (two shut-outs in their last two games).

Why They Can’t Win:

Two words – Tony Romo. The biggest open secret in the NFL is that Romo can’t deliver a big-game win because he is far too inconsistent if it comes down to Romo’s ability to lead a team.

Jerry Jones picking a quarterback with as much playoff effectiveness as Tony Romo.

Odds of Winning: 5 to 1


 

 

5) Baltimore Ravens

 

Why They Can Win:

See #4. The Ravens are the next-best incarnation of the “old school” formula. Plus, Ray Rice is the best running back in the NFL that nobody is talking about.

Why They Can’t Win:

Joe Flacco is an unproven commodity in a big-game situation, but more importantly, that vaunted Raven defense ain’t what it used to be…

Odds of Winning: 6 to 1


6) Green Bay Packers

Why They Can Win:

Forget about the two embarrassing losses to the Minnesota Frauds Vikings. Since then, the offensive line has healed up, allowing Aaron Rodgers to become the best young quarterback in the NFL. The same line allowed Ryan Grant to rush for over 1,200 yards, and the Packer defense is on the verge of becoming one of the best in the league.

Why They Can’t Win: Because this team simply isn’t ready to take that next step yet. But that will change next season when this team supplants the Frauds Vikings at the top of the NFC North.

Odds of Winning: 8 to 1


 

 

7) New England Patriots

 

Why They Can Win:

They don’t have a defense anymore, and the offense is not the juggernaut that it was five years ago, but Tom Brady is clearly protected by the league as its “star power.”  Touching Brady in anyway is a 15-yard penalty and fumbles are not fumbles if committed by the “golden boy.” Besides, Brady is the league’s sole attraction to the gay community.

Contrary to popular belief, this is NOT the Patriots' offensive line in practice.

Why They Can’t Win:

Because it isn’t 2005 anymore.

Odds of Winning: 10 to 1


8 ) Minnesota Vikings

A much more apt logo choice...If you want to kill da wabbit, just give Jared Allen a six-pack and let him run over it.

Why They Can Win:

As much as the NFL protects Tom Brady, they also would clearly love to see a Favre-Brady match-up in Miami. Viking receivers are clearly allowed to push-off on a Michael Irvin scale, which is why the Vikings can hang 30 points on anybody.

Why They Can’t Win:

They are the worst 12-4 team I’ve ever seen – they define over-rated. To Favre’s credit, somehow he has managed to stay alive behind an offensive line comprised of Steve Hutchinson and four turnstiles (Bryant McKinnie being in the Pro Bowl is so lame Jerry Lewis should be doing a telethon for it).  Jared Allen is the star of the defense, despite the fact he is little more than a serial drunk-driver who collected most of his sacks against 2nd string opponents, and the offense has two stud running backs and yet couldn’t run the ball against a high-school team.

Odds of Winning: 12 to 1


9) Cincinnati Bengals

 

Why They Can Win:

Carson Palmer is a big-time quarterback who has languished in the backwaters of the NFL for most of his career, and the Bengals have a dominant running game.

Why They Can’t Win:

They simply don’t have enough horses to hang with the big-timers.

Odds of Winning: 20 to 1


10) Philadelphia Eagles

 

Why They Can Win:

In short, because of big play ability – DeShaun Jackson is the most dangerous big-play threat in the league.

Why They Can’t Win:

It pains me as an Eagles fan to say this, but Philadelphia really are The Green Vikings – they can’t run the ball, they are vastly-overrated, and they have a terminal case of inconsistency.

As true as this is, the Eagles really need to win before they can trash-talk.

Odds of Winning: 20.5 to 1


 

 

11) Arizona Cardinals

 

Why They Can Win:

In a word – defense. The Cardinals can shut down anybody.

Why They Can’t Win:

The offense is inconsistent and the team in general lacks depth.

Odds of Winning: 25 to 1


 

 

12) New York Jets

 

Why They Can Win:

The “gambler” mentality of head coach Rex Ryan, combined with a good, old-fashioned ball-control offense.

Ryan: Nothing like having a few beers at the ballpark before heading to the casino.

Why They Can’t Win:

To put in gambling terms, Ryan is drawing to an inside straight three times over. Plus, the odds of winning with a rookie quarterback are prohibitive at best.

Odds of Winning: 30 to 1

About J-Dub

What your view of sports would be if you had too many concussions

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