Dubsism

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The Dubsism 2011-2012 College Football Bowl Matchups: I Was So Wrong Now My Wife Thinks She Knows More Than I Do

EDITOR’S NOTE: The original predictions that were made here back in August were based on an assumption the NCAA will would rule Ohio State, Miami (FL), and Auburn ineligible for post-season competition. These picks are noted, despite the fact that never happened; only Miami (FL) took itself out of bowl consideration. That’s not an excuse for my atrocious prognostication, but it’s what I’ve got.

And for “that guy” who wants to yell at me about how screwed up the bowl system is…Yeah, I get that, but it is also what we’ve got for now. If you wnat to talk about a college playoff, read this first then you can argue with me. And before you yell at me about the numbers associated with each team, remember those are not indicative of  finishes and/or conference standings. Rather they reflect the order in which teams were selected from a conference. Don’t forget bowl committees are allowed to select who they want in their games, within certain contractual commitments.

For example, bowls game outside of the BCS which has a Big East tie-in have a conditional option under which they can select Notre Dame instead. This is why you will see the Irish listed as Big East #2.

The Big East also has an unusual relationship with the Liberty Bowl, which is why Cincinnati is headed for a game traditional slated as an SEC/C-USA matchup.

Lastly, there”s the whole Boise State situation…I understand they might feel like they got jobbed, but they knew the rules going in. It’s not like they couldn’t have eliminated this problem by joining conference. Maybe this is why they’ve announced they are joining the Big East in 2013.

Now, for the fun part. since my wife gets to listen to most of these rants before the ever hit the interwebz, she thinks she actually knows more than me when it comes to college football. Of course, this means a bowl-picking challenge…

Bowl Championship Series:

BCS Championship:

  • Monday, January 9th, New Orleans, Louisiana,  Superdome
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: BCS #1 vs. BCS #2 – Alabama (#1 SEC) vs. Wisconsin (#1 Big Ten)
  • Payout: $18,000,000
  • Actual Matchup: LSU (BCS #1, SEC #1) vs. Alabama (BCS#2, SEC #2)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: LSU
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Alabama

Fiesta Bowl:

  • Thursday, January 5th, Glendale Arizona, University of Phoenix Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big 12 Champion/BCS vs. BCS At-Large – Oklahoma (#1 Big 12) vs. Boise State (#1 MWC)
  • Payout: $17,000,000
  • Actual Matchup:  Oklahoma State (#1 Big 12) vs. Stanford (#2 Pac-12, BCS at-large)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Oklahoma State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction:  Stanford

Rose Bowl:

  • Monday, January 2nd; Pasadena, California; Rose Bowl
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup:  Big Ten Champion/BCS vs. Pac-12 Champion/BCS – Oregon (#1 Pac-12) vs. Nebraska (#2 Big Ten)*
  • Payout : $17,000,000
  • Actual Matchup: Wisconsin (Big Ten #1) vs. Oregon (Pac-12 #1)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Oregon
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Wisconsin

* I thought Nebraska would replace the Big Ten Champion (Wisconsin) which would be in BCS Championship. Didn’t happen.

Orange Bowl:

  • Wednesday, January 4th; Miami, Florida; Dolphin Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: ACC Champion vs. Big East Champion/BCS – Florida State (#1 ACC) vs. West Virginia (#1 Big East)
  • Payout: $17,000,000
  • Actual Matchup: Clemson (ACC #1) vs. West Virginia (Big East #1, BCS at-large)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Clemson
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Clemson

Sugar Bowl:

  • Tuesday, January 3rd; New Orleans, Louisiana; Superdome
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: SEC Champion BCS vs. Big East Champion/BCS –  LSU (#2 SEC)* vs. Oklahoma State (#2 Big 12)
  • Payout: $17,000,000
  • Actual Matchupt: Michigan (Big Ten #2*, BCS at-large) vs. Virginia Tech (ACC #2, BCS at-large)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Michigan
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Michigan
*I thought LSU would replace the SEC Champion (Alabama) which would be in BCS Championship. Half-right…Michigan ends up here because of two SEC teams being in the BCS championship game.

Other:

Capital One Bowl:

  • Monday, January 2nd; Orlando, Florida; Florida Citrus Bowl Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: SEC #2 vs. Big Ten #2 – South Carolina (#3 SEC) vs. Michigan State (#4 Big Ten)*
  • Payout: $4,600,000
  • Actual Matchup: South Carolina (SEC #3) vs. Nebraska (Big Ten #3)
  • The Dubsism Prediction:  South Carolina
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction:  South Carolina

*I thought Michigan State would replace Ohio State since we assumed the NCAA would rule them ineligible. Total whiff. I’d like to thank the NCAA for getting my back on that one.

Cotton Bowl Classic:

  • Friday, January 6th; Dallas, Texas; Cowboys Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big 12 #2 vs. SEC #3 or #4 – Texas A&M (Big 12 #3) vs. Arkansas (SEC #4)
  • Payout: $3,625,000
  • Actual Matchup: Kansas State (Big 12 #2) vs. Arkansas (SEC #4)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Arkansas
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Kansas State

Insight Bowl:

  • Friday, December 30th; Tempe, Arizona; Sun Devil Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big 12 #4 vs. Big Ten #4/5 – Missouri (#4 Big 12) vs. Iowa (#6 Big Ten)
  • Payout: $3,350,000
  • Actual Matchup: Oklahoma (Big 12 #4) vs. Iowa (Big Ten #5)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Oklahoma
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Iowa

Chick-Fil-A Bowl:

  • Saturday, December 31st; Atlanta, Georgia; Georgia Dome
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: ACC #2 vs. SEC #5 – Virginia Tech (ACC #2) vs. Georgia (SEC #6)*
  • Payout: $3,967,500 ACC; $2,932,500 SEC
  • Actual Matchup: Virginia (ACC #3) vs. Auburn (SEC #5)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Auburn
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Auburn

* Again, I had Georgia here as I thought Auburn would be ruled ineligible by the NCAA. Fat chance.

Outback Bowl:

  • Monday, January 2nd; Tampa, Florida; Raymond James Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big Ten #3  vs. SEC #3 , #4, or #5  – Penn State (#5 Big Ten) vs. Mississippi State (#6 SEC) 
  • Payout $3,500,000
  • Actual Matchup:  Michigan State (Big Ten #4) vs. Georgia (SEC #6)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Michigan State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Michigan State

Alamo Bowl:

  • Thursday, December 29th; San Antonio, Texas, Alamodome
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Pac-12 #2 vs. Big 12 #3 – Stanford (#2 Pac-12) vs. Texas (#5 Big 12)
  • Payout: $3,175,000
  • Actual Matchup: Washington (Pac-12 #3) vs. Baylor (Big 12 #3)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Baylor
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Baylor

Gator Bowl:

  • Monday, January 2nd; Jacksonville, Florida; Jacksonville Municipal Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big 10 #4 or #5 vs. SEC #6 – Michigan (#7 Big Ten) vs. Florida (#8 SEC)
  • Payout: $2,700,000
  • Actual Matchup: Ohio State (Big Ten #6) vs. Florida (SEC #7)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Ohio State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Florida

Champs Sports Bowl:

  • Friday, December 29th, Orlando, Florida; Florida Citrus Bowl Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big East #2 vs. ACC #3 – South Florida (#2 Big East) vs. North Carolina (#4 ACC)*
  • Payout: $2,325,000
  • Actual Matchup: Notre Dame (Big East #2**) vs. Florida State (ACC #4)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Florida State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Florida State
* I had North Carolina in this spot replacing Miami (FL) as I assumed the NCAA would rule them ineligible. The fact the ‘Canes committed the bowl equivalent of seppuku didn’t really help me.

** The Champs Sports Bowl can select Notre Dame instead of a Big East team once in the four-year period stretching from 2010-13.

Holiday Bowl:

  • Wednesday, December 28th, San Diego, California; Qualcomm Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup:  Pac-12 #3 vs. Big 12 #5 – Arizona State (#4 Pac-12*) vs.  Baylor (#6 Big 12)
  • Payout: $2,150,000
  • Actual Matchup: California (Pac-12 #4) vs. Texas (Big 12 #5)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Texas
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Texas

* Normally, this is where I would have put USC, but since they actually are ineligible…

Sun Bowl:

  • Saturday, December 31st; El Paso, Texas; Sun Bowl
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Pac-12 #4 vs. ACC #4 –  Utah (#5 Pac-12) vs. Maryland (#5 ACC)
  • Payout: $2,000,000
  • Actual Matchup: Georgia Tech (ACC #5) vs. Utah (Pac-12 #5)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Utah
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Georgia Tech

Music City Bowl:

  • Thursday, December 30th; Nashville, Tennessee; LP Field
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: ACC #6 vs. SEC #7 – Boston College (#7 ACC) vs. Tennessee (#9 SEC)
  • Payout: $1,837,500
  • Actual Matchup: Wake Forest (ACC #7) vs. Mississippi State (SEC #8)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Mississippi State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Mississippi State

Pinstripe Bowl:

  • Friday, December 30th; New York City, New York; Yankee Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big East #4 vs. Big 12 #7 – Notre Dame* vs. Texas Tech (#7 Big 12)
  • Payout: $1,800,000
  • Actual Matchup: Rutgers (Big East #4) vs. Iowa State (Big 12 #7)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Rutgers
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Iowa State

* Notre Dame is eligible for any Bowl spot contracted to the Big East conference.  How was I supposed to know the Big East would be so lousy the Irish would get snapped up first? On second thought, don’t answer that…

Belk Bowl:

  • Tuesday, December 27th; Charlotte, North Carolina; Bank of America Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: ACC #5 vs. Big East #3 – Clemson (#6 ACC) vs. Pittsburgh (#3 Big East)
  • Payout: $1,700,000
  • Actual Matchup: Louisville (Big East #3) vs. N.C. State (ACC #6)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: N.C. State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Louisville

Liberty Bowl:

  • Saturday, December 31st; Memphis, Tennessee; Memorial Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: C-USA #1 vs. SEC #8 – Houston (#1 C-USA) vs. Kentucky (#10 SEC)
  • Payout: $1,700,000
  • Actual Matchup: Cincinnati (Big East #4*) vs. Vanderbilt (SEC #9)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Vanderbilt
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Cincinnati

*There’s a whole explanation for why there is a Big East team here instead of C-USA #1. The best one is here. In a nutshell, if there are eight SEC bowl-eligible teams, the Liberty Bowl matches Conference USA versus the Big East, but if there are nine SEC bowl-eligible teams, then it’s SEC versus Big East.

Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas:
  • Saturday, December 31st; Houston, Texas; Reliant Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big 12 #6 vs. Big Ten #6 – Northwestern (#8 Big Ten) vs. Kansas State (#8 Big 12)
  • Payout: $1,700,000
  • Actual Matchup: Northwestern (Big Ten #8) vs. Texas A&M (Big 12 #6)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Northwestern
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Texas A&M

Independence Bowl:

  • Monday, December, 26th; Shreveport, Louisiana; Independence Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: MWC #3 vs. ACC #7 – Air Force (#3 MWC) vs. North Carolina State (#8 ACC)
  • Payout: $1,150,000
  • Actual Matchup: Missouri (Big 12 #8*) vs. North Carolina (ACC #8)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: North Carolina
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Missouri
* Replacement team for a conference that does not have enough bowl-eligible teams to fulfill all of its obligations.

TicketCity Bowl:

  • Monday, January 2nd; Dallas, Texas, Cotton Bowl
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big Ten #7 vs. C-USA #2 – Illinois (#9 Big Ten) vs. Tulsa (#2 C-USA)
  • Payout: $1,100,000
  • Actual Matchup: Penn State (Big Ten #7) vs. Houston (C-USA #2)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Penn State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Penn State

MAACO Las Vegas Bowl:

  • Thursday, December 22nd; Las Vegas, Nevada; Sam Boyd Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: MWC #1 vs. Pac-12 #5 – TCU (#2 MWC) vs. Arizona (#6 Pac-12)
  • Payout: $1,100,000
  • Actual Matchup: Boise State (MWC #1) vs. Arizona State (Pac-12 #6)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Boise State
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Boise State

BBVA Compass Bowl:

  • Saturday, January 7th; Birmingham, Alabama; Legion Field
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big East #5 vs. SEC #8 – Connecticut (#4 Big East) vs. Alabama – Birmingham (C-USA #5*)
  • Payout: $900,000 SEC; $600,000 Big East
  • Actual Matchup: Pittsburgh (Big East #5) vs. SMU (C-USA #4*)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: SMU
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: SMU
* Replacement team for a conference that does not have enough bowl-eligible teams to fulfill all of its obligations.

Military Bowl:

  • Wednesday, December 28th; Washington, D.C.; RFK Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup:  ACC #8/MAC #4 vs. Army/C-USA #6 – Miami (OH) (#4 MAC) vs. Southern Methodist (#6 C-USA)
  • Payout: $862,500
  • Actual Matchup: Air Force (MWC #3)* vs. Toledo (MAC #4) 
  • The Dubsism Predicition: Air Force
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Toledo
* Replacement team for a conference that does not have enough bowl-eligible teams to fulfill all of its obligations.

Armed Forces Bowl:

  • Friday, December 30th; Dallas, Texas; Gerald J. Ford Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: C-USA #3/Army vs. MWC #4 or #5 or BYU – Southern Mississippi (#3 C-USA) vs. San Diego State (#4 MWC)
  • Payout: $600,000
  • Actual Matchup: Tulsa (C-USA #3) vs. BYU 
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Tulsa
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: BYU

Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl:

  • Saturday, December 31st; San Francisco, California; AT&T Park
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Pac-12 #6 vs. Army or WAC #1 or #2 – Washington (#8 Pac-12) vs. Army
  • Payout: $837,500
  • Actual Matchup: UCLA (Pac-12 #7) vs. Illinois* (Big Ten #10)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: UCLA
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Illinois

*The Big Ten fulfilled all of its contractual obligation, but had an extra team that was bowl-eligible, hence Illinois gets a trip west. Which means if there were ever a game which proves we have too many bowl games, this may be it. After all, don’t you think that teams making it to the post-season would have performed well enough they did not fire their coaches? Well, both these schools made the post-season, and both gassed their coaches.

Little Caesars Pizza Bowl:

  • Tuesday, December 27th; Detroit, Michigan; Ford Field
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: MAC  #1 or #2 vs. Big Ten #8  – Northern Illinois (#2 MAC) vs.  Fresno State (#1 WAC)*
  • Payout: $750,000
  • Actual Matchup: Western Michigan (MAC #2) vs. Purdue (Big Ten #9)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Western Michigan
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Purdue

*Replaces Big Ten spot as the team normally available for this spot will already have been selected by another bowl

GoDaddy.com Bowl

  • Sunday, January 8th; Mobile, Alabama; Ladd Peebles Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: MAC #1 0r #2 vs. Sun Belt #2 – Toledo  (#1 MAC) vs. Troy (#2 Sun Belt)
  • Payout: $750,000
  • Actual Matchup: Northern Illinois (MAC #1) vs. Arkansas State (Sun Belt #2)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Northern Illinois
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Northern Illinois

Hawaii Bowl:

  • Saturday, December 24th; Honolulu, Hawaii; Aloha Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: At-Large  vs. WAC #3 or Hawaii – UCLA (#9 Pac-12) vs. Hawaii (#2 WAC) 
  • Payout: $750,000
  • Actual Matchup: Nevada (WAC#2) vs. Southern Miss (C-USA #1*)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Southern Miss
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Southern Miss

Idaho Potato Bowl (Humanitarian Bowl):

  • Saturday, December, 17th; Boise, Idaho; Bronco Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: WAC #1 or #2 vs. MAC #3 – Idaho (#3 WAC) vs. Temple (#3 MAC)
  • Payout: $750,000
  • Actual Matchup: Utah State (WAC #3) vs. Ohio (MAC #3)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Ohio
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Ohio

New Mexico Bowl:

  • Saturday, December 17th; Albuquerque, New Mexico; University Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Pac-12 #7 vs. MWC #4 or #5 – Oregon State (#7 Pac-12) vs. Colorado State (#5 MWC)
  • Payout: $750,000
  • Actual Matchup: Wyoming (MWC #4) vs. Temple (MAC #5)*
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Wyoming
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Temple
* Replacement team for a conference that does not have enough bowl-eligible teams to fulfill all of its obligations.

Beef ‘O’ Brady’s St. Petersburg Bowl:

  • Tuesday, December 2otht; St. Petersburg, Florida; Tropicana Field
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Big East #6 vs. C-USA #4 – Central Florida (#4 C-USA) vs. Cincinnati (Big East #5)
  • Payout: $500,000
  • Actual Matchup: Marshall (C-USA#5) vs. Florida International (Sun Belt #3*)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Marshall
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediciton: Marshall
* Replacement team for a conference that does not have enough bowl-eligible teams to fulfill all of its obligations.

Poinsettia Bowl:

  • Wednesday, December 21st; San Diego, California; Qualcomm Stadium
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Navy vs. MWC #2/WAC #4 OR MWC #2 vs. WAC #5 –  Navy vs. Nevada (#4 WAC)
  • Payout: $500,000
  • Actual Matchup: TCU (MWC #2) vs. Louisiana Tech (WAC #1)
  • The Dubsism Prediction: TCU
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: TCU

New Orleans Bowl:

  • Saturday, December 17th; New Orleans, Louisiana; Superdome
  • Traditional/Contractual Matchup: Sun Belt #1 vs. C-USA #5 – Florida International (#1 Sun Belt) vs. East Carolina  (#7 C-USA)
  • Payout: $500,000
  • Actual Matchup: Louisiana-Lafayette (Sun Belt #1) vs. San Diego State (MWC #5*) 
  • The Dubsism Prediction: Louisiana-Lafayette
  • The Mrs. Dubsism Prediction: Louisiana-Lafayette
* Replacement team for a conference that does not have enough bowl-eligible teams to fulfill all of its obligations. 

About J-Dub

What your view of sports would be if you had too many concussions

8 comments on “The Dubsism 2011-2012 College Football Bowl Matchups: I Was So Wrong Now My Wife Thinks She Knows More Than I Do

  1. sportsattitudes
    December 7, 2011

    Ah…the BCS has really outdone itself this year. I really had myself convinced I would not take fingers to keyboard regarding it ever, ever again…but they’ve left me no choice. But I digress. Obviously, should I chose to participate in picking any of these games “for amusement only” I shall first evaluate the evaluations of both Mr. and Mrs. Dubsism…husband and wife…’til money it does part (from me).

    Like

  2. chappy81
    December 8, 2011

    Can’t wait for that Kraft Hunger Bowl, none of the other ones really interest me 🙂

    Like

  3. ChrisHumpherys (@SportsChump)
    December 13, 2011

    I’m assuming you two have a nice romantic dinner (Arby’s) wagered on this year’s post-season.

    Is it just me or are none of these games, other than the big one, of course, grabbing my interest?

    Like

    • JW
      December 13, 2011

      In honor of the sponsors, we will be Kraft Fight(ing) Hunger with Idaho Potatoes at either Little Caeser’s or Beef O’Brady’s…

      Like

  4. Pingback: The Dubsism 2011-2012 College Football Bowl Recap: Did My Wife In Fact Know More Than I Do? The First Week’s Results « Dubsism

  5. brief22
    December 29, 2011

    For the BCS,I agree with you on the Sugar, Orange, and Natl. championship games.

    Wisconsin will beat Oregon. Montee Ball will plow through Oregon’s small defense, and Russell Wilson will be effective enough to kelp up with Oregon’s offense.

    Like

  6. Pingback: The Dubsism 2011-2012 College Football Bowl Recap: Did My Wife In Fact Know More Than I Do? The Second Week’s Results « Dubsism

  7. Pingback: The Dubsism 2011-2012 College Football Bowl Recap: My Wife Did In Fact Know More Than I Do « Dubsism

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This entry was posted on December 6, 2011 by in College Football and tagged , , , .

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