This is going to be unlike most posts on this blog; short, sweet, and to the point. Now that the University of Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers have made NCAA Tournament History by becoming the first #16 seed to take down a #1, the last great shoe left to drop in this tournament has done just that.
So, as I’m wont to do with this blog, right after I offer UMBC a large bit of congratulations for this historic feat, I’m going to take this opportunity to make this all about me. It was just one year ago that in an episode of “Ask J-Dub,” somebody queried could this ever happen?
Dear J-Dub,
Will a #16 ever beat a #1 in the NCAA Basketball Tournament?
~Duke Sucks
Because I’m answering this question, it’s going to happen about twenty minutes before I publish this post so as to fuck me all up.
Seriously, from a pure statistical standpoint, even the most remote “1-in-whatever” by definition means that the occurrence of even the most likely event is within the realm of possibility. Without getting into a collegiate-level “Prob & Stat” discussion on the innate difference between “probability” and “possibility,” let’s just say that it’s just a matter time before a #16 seed takes down a #1.
That means the question isn’t whether or not it will happen; rather it becomes about what happens first? Does a #16 beat a #1 before the NCAA expands the tournament once again thus making the question moot, or do you live long enough to see it happen?
There’s was somebody in the Dubsism NCAA Bracket Challenge who picked a #16 this year…they just didn’t pick the right one.
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Without being too reactionary, where does this upset rank in the pantheon of recent great upsets?
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That’s a good question. I’m letting it settle before I decide, but it’s high on any list.
But here’s a question I need your thoughts on…
Bigger accomplishment: UMBC taking out a #1 overall seed in Virginia, or George Mason’s run to the Final Four as an #11 when they beat Michigan State, Wichita State, and North Carolina?
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